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CovidVisualizedGlobal

Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19

at the global level 🌍

Project: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the global level (CovidVisualizedGlobal)
Person: Farshad Pourmalek (pourmalek_farshad at yahoo dot com) || || PubMed

|| UBC SPPH || UW IHME || YouCheck
Time (initial): 2021-04-14

Pre-print for this project:

Farshad Pourmalek. CovidVisualized: Visualized compilation of international updating models’ estimates of COVID-19 pandemic at global and country levels, 02 August 2021, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-768714/v1]

PDF

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Related repositories:

THREE “CovidVisualized” repositories, use a common template and logic for visualization of the results of estimates of FIVE international and periodically updated COVID-19 models for the future of the epidemic:

CovidVisualizedGlobal for the GLOBAL level

CovidVisualizedCountry for countries with subnational estimates: CANADA

covir2 for countries without subnational estimates: IRAN

These results in these three repositories get periodically updated.

The codes in these repositories can be adapted for use for any country or region in the world.

For a sample application of “covir2” to a country without subnational estimates see Afghanistan, Pakistan

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I. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM LATEST UPTAKE

LATEST UPTAKE: uptake `20210806`

DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

Selected graphs

Note: In the latest update of SRIV as of 20210806, that is SRIV update 20210801, predictions of daily deaths and daily cases are very high. The very high predictions of daily deaths by SRIV compress down and obscure the predictions of daily deaths by other models in the first three graphs below. Graph (3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME, and graph (3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE, reveal the predictions by IHME and IMPE, respectively.

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

II. METHODS AND RESULTS OF THIS WORK

Pre-print for this project:

PDF

CovidVisualized: Visualized compilation of international updated models’ estimates of COVID-19 pandemic at global and country levels

Farshad Pourmalek, MD PhD

SUMMARY

Objectives: To identify international and periodically updated models of the COVID-19 epidemic, compile and visualize their estimation results at the global and country levels, and periodically update the compilations. When one or more models predict an increase in daily cases or infections and deaths in the next one to three months, technical advisors to the national and subnational decision-makers can consider this early alarm for assessment and suggestion of augmentation of preventive measures and interventions.

Methods and Results: Five international and periodically updated models of the COVID-19 pandemic were identified, created by: (1) Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, (2) Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, (3) Imperial College, London, (4) Los Alamos National Laboratories, Los Alamos, and (5) University of Southern California, Los Angeles. Estimates of these five identified models were gathered, combined, and graphed at global and two country levels. Canada and Iran were chosen as countries with and without subnational estimates, respectively. Compilations of results are periodically updated. Three Github repositories were created that contain the codes and results, i.e., “CovidVisualizedGlobal” for the global level, “CovidVisualizedCountry” for a country with subnational estimates – Canada, and “covir2” for a country without subnational estimates – Iran.

Keywords: COVID-19, pandemic, epidemic, models, visualization, global, Canada, Iran

BACKGROUND

Objectives and rationale: The objectives are to identify international and periodically updated models of the COVID-19 epidemic, compile and visualize their estimations’ results at the global and country levels, and periodically update the compilations. The ultimate objective is to provide an early warning system for technical advisors to the decision-makers. When the predictions of one or more models show an increase in daily cases or infections, hospitalizations, or deaths in the next one to three months, technical advisors to the national and subnational decision-makers may consider assessing the situation and suggesting augmentation of non-pharmacologic preventive interventions and vaccinations. In doing so, the strengths and weaknesses of individual models need to be considered and those of this work. Models’ estimates demonstrate the trajectory of COVID-19 deaths, cases or infections, and hospital-related outcomes in one to three months into the future.

METHODS

Eligibility criteria: The criteria for inclusion of target COVID-19 models were (1) an international model scope and (2) periodic updates. “International model” denotes a model that estimates COVID-19 cases or infections and deaths for all countries of the world, with global-level estimates that equate the sum of the national-level estimates. “Periodically updated” denotes a model with a record of periodically updated estimates since its first release, with continued updates in 2021.

Finding the eligible models: The eligible models were found within the literature search of a previous publication, “Rapid review of COVID-19 epidemic estimation studies for Iran” [1]. The results were verified by comparison with models found in a recently published study on “Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models” [2]. While non-updated or one-time models can be contemporaneously usable, their results would not sustain up-to-dateness in the long run, especially with the emergence of new variants of concern and various degrees of uncertainties in the progression of vaccination coverage.

RESULTS

Results are described under the following items: (1) The five identified models / studies, (2) The CovidVisualized repositories created in this work, (3) Data management, and (4) Periodical uptakes.

(1) The five identified models / studies

Five international and periodically updated models of the COVID-19 pandemic were identified: (1) DELPHI , Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge (abbreviation used in this work: DELP) [3], (2) Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle (IHME) [4], (3) Imperial College, London (IMPE) [5], (4) Los Alamos National Laboratories, Los Alamos (LANL) [6], (5) University of Southern California, Los Angeles, by Srivastava, Ajitesh (SRIV) [7]. Official reports of countries to World Health Organization, curated by Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus resource center (JOHN) [8], were also used for comparison.

(1) DELP
. DELP = DELPHI: Differential Equations Lead to Predictions of Hospitalizations and Infections
. Citation: COVID Analytics. DELPHI epidemiological case predictions. Cambridge: Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://www.covidanalytics.io/projections
. Study website: https://www.covidanalytics.io/projections
. Estimates web site: https://www.covidanalytics.io/projections, down the page, link that reads, "Download Most Recent Predictions"
. License: https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/DELPHI/blob/master/LICENSE
. Institution: Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge
. Among articles: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7883965/ , https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.23.20138693v1, https://www.covidanalytics.io/DELPHI_documentation_pdf
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: No

(2) IHME . IHME = Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
. Citation: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). COVID-19 mortality, infection, testing, hospital resource use, and social distancing projections. Seattle: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington. http://www.healthdata.org/covid
. Study web site: http://www.healthdata.org/covid
. Estimates web site: http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads
. License: http://www.healthdata.org/about/terms-and-conditions
. Institution: IHME, University of Washington, Seattle
. Among articles: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1132-9
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: Yes

(3) IMPE
. IMPE = Imperial College
. Citation: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (MRC GIDA). Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in low- or middle-income countries. London: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London. https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/
. Study web site: https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/
. Estimates web site: https://github.com/mrc-ide/global-lmic-reports/tree/master/data
. License: https://github.com/mrc-ide/global-lmic-reports
. Institution: Imperial College, London
. Among articles: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/369/6502/413
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: Yes

(4) LANL
. LANL = Los Alamos National Laboratories
. Citation: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). COVID-19 cases and deaths forecasts. Los Alamos: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org
. Study web site: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org
. Estimates web site: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org, Model Outputs, Global
. License: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org
. Institution: Los Alamos National Laboratories, Los Alamos
. Among documents: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org/static/COFFEE-methodology.pdf
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: Yes

(5) SRIV
. SRIV = Srivastava, Ajitesh
. Citation: University of Southern California (USC). COVID-19 forecast. Los Angeles: University of Southern California. https://scc-usc.github.io/ReCOVER-COVID-19
. Study web site: https://scc-usc.github.io/ReCOVER-COVID-19/
. Estimates web site: https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/tree/master/results/historical_forecasts
. License: https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/blob/master/LICENSE
. Institution: University of Southern California, Los Angeles
. Among articles: https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.05180
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: Yes

(0) JOHN
. JOHN = Johns Hopkins University. Coronavirus resource center. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu
. Not a target study, but a benchmark for comparison.
. Citation: "COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University"
. Study web site: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu
. Estimates web site: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series , "COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University"
. License: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series
. Institution: Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore
. Among articles: Dong E, Du H, Gardner L. An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 May;20(5):533-534. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30120-1. Epub 2020 Feb 19.
. Periodically updated: Yes
. Periodical updates accessible: Yes

The COVID-19 epidemic model by Youyang Gu [9] and the model by University of California, Los Angeles model [10] could not be categorized as international and periodically updated models. The COVID-19 International Modelling Consortium (CoMo Consortium) model, created by researchers at the University of Oxford and Cornell University [11], and CovidSim (COVID Simulation) model, developed by researchers at Imperial College, London [12], provide templates for researchers to model the future of epidemic trajectory at national and subnational levels of their choice, through adjusting the model inputs and setting the time horizon into future for the estimations. Unlike the five international and periodically updated models mentioned above, the latter two models are not intended for periodic updates by their original creators. The CoMo Consortium has engaged some countries, including Iran, but not Canada. There is no evidence of either model being used on a periodically updated basis in Iran or Canada.

(2) The CovidVisualized repositories created in this work

GitHub (https://github.com) is used for sharing the codes and data. Global and country levels were chosen for demonstration of results. For the national level, one country with and one country without subnational estimates – Canada and Iran, respectively – were chosen based on personal bonds.

Four of the five identified models share codes and estimates updates via GitHub repositories, and the IHME estimates are released on IHME’s website [4]. Three Github repositories were created for this project: “CovidVisualizedGlobal” [13] for the global level, “CovidVisualizedCountry” [14] for Canada, and “covir2” [15] for Iran. These are referred to as CovidVisualized GitHub repositories hereon. The “covir2” repository was created as “COVID Iran Review number 2” in March 2021, as an update after a first-iteration review was published [1]. The idea and work were further developed toward applicability to any location in the world, with case application for the global level, Canada, and Iran.

GitHub repositories allow others to view and/or download, scrutinize, and verify the integrity of the codes and data. It is also possible to minimally modify the codes to recreate similar repositories for any other country that reports COVID-19 cases and deaths to World Health Organization. Such use of the codes and data in GitHub is free of charge and bound to the pertinent licenses.

The three GitHub repositories created in this project are:

. CovidVisualizedGlobal, COVID-19 estimates at the global level [13]

https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedGlobal

http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5019030

. CovidVisualizedCountry, COVID-19 estimates at the country level: Canada [14]

https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedCountry

http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5019482

. covir2, COVID-19 estimates at the country level: Iran [15]

https://github.com/pourmalek/covir2

http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5020797

(3) Data management

Data management template: A data management template was created for assigning comparable variable names to various outcomes from different models. Comparable and common variable names consist of generic parts (positions in the variable name) denoting the following items: (1) daily or total, (2) deaths, cases or infections, or other outcomes, (3) mean estimate, or lower, or upper uncertainty limit, (4) raw or smoothed estimate, (5) each of the five individual models, and (6) scenarios within each model. This template is described in detail in “variable name structure” in the CovidVisualized GitHub repositories [16]. Stata SE 14.2 (Stata Statistical Software. StataCorp. College Station, Texas) was used to write and run the codes on macOS Big Sur, and test run on Microsoft Windows 10.

Data management: Data acquisition, management, and graphing were performed via Stata codes. Stata codes download the models’ output files from their respective websites, edit them according to the data management template, store each model’s estimates in a single file, and create graphs for all outcomes produced by each model. Then, the models’ single data files are compiled into a single final file, and graphs for all common outcomes are created for this compilation of all models. These graphs are shown on the pages of the three CovidVisualized GitHub repositories [13-15] and in periodical Situation Reports created with each uptake.

Outcome types: Besides (1) daily deaths, (2) daily incident cases or infections, (3) total deaths, and (4) total cases or infections, other outcomes estimated by one or more individual models include prevalence, active or prevalent cases, recovered cases, hospital admissions, regular beds needed, ICU (Intensive Care Unit) beds needed, ventilated cases, seroprevalence, and effective reproduction number. All outcome types were graphed.

Secondary variables: Secondary variables are created in this work using the primary variables released by the individual models. They include case fatality rate (CFR), infection fatality rate (IFR), cases per deaths, ratio of estimated to reported deaths, and ratio of estimated to reported cases. CFR and IFR have only a daily version, and the other secondary variables have both daily and total (cumulative) versions.

Uncertainty, scenarios, variants, and vaccines: For each model and for each outcome, both the point (mean) estimates and the interval estimates (95% uncertainty limits) were graphed where available. Similarly, both the “reference” scenario (aka status quo) and alternative scenarios (i.e., “better” and “worse” scenarios) were graphed for models with more than one scenario (i.e., IHME and IMPE). Assumptions about and empirical inputs from distributions of variants and vaccination coverages across space and time have been progressively included in models and scenarios of IHME and IMPE.

Subnational estimates: The DELP and IHME models provide subnational-level estimates for countries reporting national and subnational level COVID-19 outcomes. Graphs were created for national and subnational-level locations (i.e., provinces in Canada) available in DELP and IHME model outputs.

(4) Periodical uptakes

A set of conventions were created for the periodic uptake of the models’ estimates updates. The two models with the least frequency of periodic updates of estimates are IHME and IMPE, updated almost weekly and bi-weekly, respectively. With the release of each update of either of these two models, the whole set of the five included models are updated in all the three CovidVisualized GitHub repositories. The most recent update of each model is used. These updates of CovidVisualized repositories are labelled as “uptakes” to differentiate them from models’ estimates updates. These conventions for periodical uptake are described in detail in the CovidVisualized GitHub repositories [17]. R software via RStudio 1.4 (Integrated Development for R. RStudio. PBC, Boston, Massachusetts) was used for semi-automatization of the uptakes’ execution. Estimates of the LANL model get updated about every 3-4 days, and DELP and SRIV models get updated daily. Uptaking the models’ estimates updates with every update of these latter three models is not expected to depict a much more informative profile of the epidemic’s trajectory in future, when compared against the current convention for uptakes. The IHME, IMPE, and SRIV models provide estimates for about three months into the future with each update release, the DELP model for about two months, and the LANL model for about one month.

With each uptake, a directory is created in the root of the main branch of each of the three CovidVisualized repositories and named with the uptake date (e.g., 20210730). Uptakes are also created retrospectively, compiling the results of the previous updates of the models’ results. Available uptakes for Iran and the global level have been created going back to April 2021 and for Canada to June 2021. Under each dated uptake directory, there are two directories for “code” and for “output”. Under each, there are located directories with the abbreviated name of the models. For example, “DELP” directories under “code” store the Stata code files (.do), and those under “output” contain the outputs from executing the codes: the single data file for model estimates (in. dta and .csv formats), Stata log file (.smcl), and the graphs in PDF format. The directory “master” contains the master Stata do-file which executes all the other do-files, and the directory “merge” (under “code”) contains the code for creating the single final merged file of all models. The directory “merge” (under “output”) stores the created single final merged file of all compiled models, as well as the graphs that contain all the models. Selected graphs that contain all the models are visible on the root page of each uptake directory and are also stacked in reverse chronological order on the main page of each repository. With each uptake, selected graphs of estimated outcomes are added at the start of the main page for each repository. Situation Reports are created and shared with national and subnational health authorities.

Similar work: The “covidcompare” tool [18] provides graph visualization of the latest estimates of daily and total deaths from international and periodically updated COVID-19 models for countries of the world and US states, along with historical forecasts and model performance, based on IHME’s “Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models” [2].

LIMITATIONS, STRENGTHS, AND FURTHER DIRECTIONS

Limitations: Limitations of this work include the programming languages, automatization of uptakes, and choice of the website for presentation of the results.

Stata programming language constitutes about 99% of the codes. Whereas Stata is a commercial software package, using non-commercial packages such as R and/or Python can increase the accessibility and adaptability of the codes for other researchers. Further use of R and/or Python can also make the uptakes almost fully automatized. Some health researchers may not be familiar with GitHub and GIT programming. Therefore, additional use of a dedicated website that is more visible to and accessible for the target audience can increase the reach and effect of this work.

Strengths and weaknesses of individual international and periodically updated COVID-19 pandemic models are not mentioned here, but they have been discussed elsewhere [1-2].

Strengths: Strengths of this work include usability for informing technical advisors to the decision-makers, adaptability for use in other countries, and automatized data acquisition.

Tested usability for informing technical advisors to the decision-makers at the country level: Results of the GitHub repository “covir2” [15] were used to present the predictions of the five international and periodically updated models of COVID-19 pandemic about the possibility, timing, slope, height, and drivers of a potential fifth wave of the epidemic in Iran. This presentation was done using the results of the covir2 repository along with the results of an e-mail survey of more than 40 epidemiologists and public health specialists. The predictions and results were presented and described in a live online session for three Deputy Ministers of Health and six epidemiologists selected by Iran’s Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME). Periodical situation reports based on each uptake are also shared with MOHME.

Adaptability of the codes for use in other countries or regions in the world: The codes available in GitHub repositories “CovidVisualizedCountry” [14] and “covir2” [15] can be slightly modified by any researcher to be used for countries with and without subnational estimates respectively. “CovidVisualizedCountry” can be adjusted for use for any type of regionalization of the countries of the world, e.g., World Health Organization regions.

Automatized data acquisition: The Stata codes in these repositories automatically download the estimates’ data files from the five included models once executed. There is no additional need for users to locate, download, and edit the estimates’ data of individual models before running the codes. This automatic data acquisition further enhances computational reproducibility – “obtaining consistent results using the same input data; computational steps, methods, and code; and conditions of analysis” [19].

Further research: Further directions include using the “ensemble” method to statistically combine models’ estimates, and retrospective assessment of models’ predictive performance. In ensemble methods, individual models are evaluated for minimum requirements of quality and reporting. They are statistically combined using specific relative weights for each model, where the weights reflect the comparative accuracy of each model. Such ensemble methods are used by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control [20] and US COVID-19 Forecast Hub [21]. The ensemble models have been empirically shown to be more accurate than any of the individual models used in the ensemble method [22]. Retrospective assessment of models’ predictive performance includes using statistical and graphical methods to estimate and visualize the accuracy of models’ estimations [2].

References

Pourmalek F, Rezaei Hemami M, Janani L, Moradi-Lakeh M. Rapid review of COVID-19 epidemic estimation studies for Iran. BMC Public Health. 2021 Feb 1;21(1):257. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-10183-3.
Friedman J, Liu P, Troeger CE, Carter A, Reiner RC Jr, et al. Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models. Nat Commun. 2021 May 10;12(1):2609. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22457-w.
COVID Analytics. DELPHI epidemiological case predictions. Cambridge: Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://www.covidanalytics.io/projections and https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/website/tree/master/data/predicted
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). COVID-19 mortality, infection, testing, hospital resource use, and social distancing projections. Seattle: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington. http://www.healthdata.org/covid/ and http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (MRC GIDA). Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in low- or middle-income countries. London: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London. https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/ and https://github.com/mrc-ide/global-lmic-reports/tree/master/data
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). COVID-19 cases and deaths forecasts. Los Alamos: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org
Srivastava, Ajitesh. University of Southern California (USC). COVID-19 forecast. Los Angeles: University of Southern California. https://scc-usc.github.io/ReCOVER-COVID-19 and https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/tree/master/results/historical_forecasts
Johns Hopkins University. Coronavirus resource center. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html and https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
Gu, Youyang. COVID-19 Projections Using Machine Learning. https://covid19-projections.com and https://github.com/youyanggu/covid19_projections
Statistical Machine Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles. Combating COVID-19. https://covid19.uclaml.org/info.html and https://github.com/uclaml/ucla-covid19-forecasts/tree/master/current_projection
The COVID-19 International Modelling Consortium (CoMo Consortium), University of Oxford and Cornell University. https://www.medsci.ox.ac.uk/news/como-consortium-the-covid-19-pandemic-modelling-in-context and https://github.com/ocelhay/como
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London. CovidSim. COVID-19 Scenario Analysis Tool. https://covidsim.org/v5.20210727/?place=ca and https://covidsim.org/v5.20210727/?place=ir
Pourmalek, F. GitHub repository “CovidVisualizedGlobal”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the global level. Version 1.1, Released June 23, 2021. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5019030 https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedGlobal
Pourmalek, F. GitHub repository “CovidVisualizedCountry”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the country level, countries with subnational level estimates: Canada, national level, provinces, and territories. Version 1.1, Released June 23, 2021. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5019482 https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedCountry
Pourmalek, F. GitHub repository “covir2”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the country level, countries without subnational level estimates: Iran. Version 2.2, Released June 23, 2021. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5020797 https://github.com/pourmalek/covir2
Pourmalek, F. “covir2”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the country level: Iran. Version 2.2, Released June 23, 2021. Variable name structure. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5020797 https://github.com/pourmalek/covir2/blob/main/Variable%20name%20structure.md
Pourmalek, F. “covir2”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the country level: Iran. Version 2.2, Released June 23, 2021. Setup. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5020797 https://github.com/pourmalek/covir2/tree/main/setup
Friedman J, Liu P, Akre S. The covidcompare tool. https://covidcompare.io/about
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Reproducibility and Replicability in Science. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. 2019. https://doi.org/10.17226/25303
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. European Covid-19 Forecast Hub. https://covid19forecasthub.eu/background.html and https://github.com/epiforecasts/covid19-forecast-hub-europe
COVID-19 Forecast Hub. https://covid19forecasthub.org/doc/ensemble and https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub Accessed 23 June 2021.
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, et al. Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US. medRxiv preprint. Posted February 05, 2021. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.03.21250974v1
Pourmalek, F. GitHub repository “covir2”: Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19 at the country level, countries without subnational level estimates: Iran. Version 2.2, Released June 23, 2021. Licenses / Copyrights of data and/or graphs used in this repository. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5020797 https://github.com/pourmalek/covir2#licenses--copyrights-of-data-and--or-graphs-used-in-this-repository Accessed 23 June 2021.

III. INNER WORKS OF THIS REPOSITORY

The Stata codes can be executed on local machines:

Run in Stata "Users/local-user-name/Downloads/CovidVisualizedGlobal/20210709/code/master/do country master.do" on your local machine after the directory /CovidVisualizedGlobal/ is downloaded into and is located in the root of /Downloads/ folder of your local machine, for uptake 20210709; and other instances of 202YMMDD for other uptake dates.

Preproduced outputs are stored for each uptake, e.g., 20210709, in folder output, for each component study, i.e., DELP, IHME, IMPE, LANL, and SRIV, plus JOHN as benchmark. Combined results are stored in merge. All merged graphs for each uptake are accessible via main page of each uptake date, e.g., https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedGlobal/tree/main/20210709/ and the link is placed in front of Merged graphs of uptake 20210709 here

Selected graphs are shown below.

Component studies and their scenarios are mentioned below after the selected graphs.

Variable name structure

Rule for uptakes

Troubleshooting

Scenario number within component study

[Names within brackets assigned by this review study.]

A00 JOHN

S00 = [Not Applicable]

A01 DELP

S00 = [Single scenario]

A02 IHME

S01 = Reference scenario [Status Quo]
S02 = Best scenario (Universal masks) [Best]
S03 = Worse scenario (Mandates easing) [Worst]

A03 IMPE

S01 = Additional 50% Reduction [Best]
S02 = Current level of interventions [Reference]
S03 = Relax Interventions 50% [Worst]
S04 = Surged Additional 50% Reduction [Best, Surged]
S05 = Surged Maintain Status Quo [Reference, Surged]
S06 = Surged Relax Interventions 50% [Worst, Surged]

A04 LANL

S00 = [Single scenario]

A05 SRIV

S00 = [current]
Note: SRIV has 3 sets of scenrios, here (add).

uptakes in this repository, since April 2021

bold fonts show the uptake was triggered by IHME or IMPE.

(uptake number) uptake date: study update date, study update date

(32) uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(31) uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(30) uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(29) uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

. 20210726: IHME estimates for global level in update 20210723 and in update 20210715 WERE identical UPON FIRST RELEASE OF update 20210723, with numerical value difference of zero. As of 20210726, update 20210723 has been replaced by IHME and is not identical with update 20210715.

(28) uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(27) uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(26) uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(25) uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(24) uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(23) uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(22) uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(21) uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(20) uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(19) uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(18) uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(17) uptake 20210605: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(16) uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(15) uptake 20210603: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(14) uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(13) uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(12) uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(11) uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(10) uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(09) uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(08) uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(07) uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210423, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(06) uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(05) uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(04) uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(03) uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(02) uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(01) uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

IV. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM PREVIOUS UPTAKES

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2011

(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

(4) Daily cases, reference scenarios, all time

(5) Daily cases, reference scenarios, 2021

(6) Daily cases, 3 scenarios, 2011

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

(10) Daily cases estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2011

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2011

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

(8) Hospital-related outcomes, 2021, without IHME Bed need and IMPE Hospital demand

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210806: DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210730: DELP 20210730, IHME 20210730, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210730

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210727: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210725, SRIV 20210727

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210726: DELP 20210726, IHME 20210723 version 2, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210726

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210723: DELP 20210723, IHME 20210723, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210718, SRIV 20210723

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210715: DELP 20210715, IHME 20210715, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210715

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210714: DELP 20210714, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210709, LANL 20210711, SRIV 20210714

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210709: DELP 20210708, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210702, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210709

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210704: DELP 20210704, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210626, LANL 20210704, SRIV 20210704

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210703: DELP 20210703, IHME 20210702, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210627, SRIV 20210703

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210625: DELP 20210625, IHME 20210625, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210624: DELP 20210624, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210618, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210624

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210618: DELP 20210618, IHME 20210618, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210613, SRIV 20210618

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210611: DELP 20210611, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210611, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210611

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210610: DELP 20210610, IHME 20210610, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210606, SRIV 20210610

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210605: DELP 20210603, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210604, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210604: DELP 20210604, IHME 20210604, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210602, SRIV 20210604

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210603: DELP 20210602, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210527, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210603

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210528: DELP 20210528, IHME 20210528, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210526, SRIV 20210528

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210522: DELP 20210522, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210522, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210522

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210521: DELP 20210521, IHME 20210521, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210519, SRIV 20210521

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210516: DELP 20210516, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210516, LANL 20210516, SRIV 20210516

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210515: DELP 20210515, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210510, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210515

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210514: DELP 20210514, IHME 20210514, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210512, SRIV 20210514

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210506: DELP 20210506, IHME 20210506, IMPE 20210424, LANL 20210505, SRIV 20210506

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210424: DELP 20210424, IHME 20210422, ـIMPE 20210424ـ, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210424

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake uptake 20210423: DELP 20210423, IHME 20210423, IMPE 2010417, LANL 20210421, SRIV 20210423

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210417: DELP 20210417, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210417, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210417

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210416: DELP 20210416, IHME 20210416, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210414, SRIV 20210416

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210409: DELP 20210409, IHME 20210409, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210407, SRIV 20210409

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210406: DELP 20210406, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210406, LANL 20210404, SRIV 20210406

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

uptake 20210401: DELP 20210401, IHME 20210401, IMPE 20210329, LANL 20210331, SRIV 20210401

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

Licenses / Copyrights of data and / or graphs used in this repository:

All the data and / or graphs used in this repository are at non-individual and aggregate level, publicly available on the Internet, and under pertinent licenses and copyrights for non-commercial use, reproduction, and distribution for scientific research, provided that the conditions mentioned in the respective licenses and copyrights are met, as provided below.

(1) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: DELP

CITATION: COVID Analytics. DELPHI epidemiological case predictions. Cambridge: Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://www.covidanalytics.io/projections and https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/website/tree/master/data/predicted

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/DELPHI

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://github.com/COVIDAnalytics/website/blob/master/LICENSE

(2) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: IHME

CITATION: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). COVID-19 mortality, infection, testing, hospital resource use, and social distancing projections. Seattle: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington. http://www.healthdata.org/covid/ and http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads

SOURCE REPOSITORY: http://www.healthdata.org/covid/data-downloads

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: http://www.healthdata.org/about/terms-and-conditions

(3) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: IMPE

CITATION: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (MRC GIDA). Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in low- or middle-income countries. London: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London. https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/ and https://github.com/mrc-ide/global-lmic-reports/tree/master/data

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://github.com/mrc-ide/global-lmic-reports/tree/master/data

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/

(4) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: LANL

CITATION: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). COVID-19 cases and deaths forecasts. Los Alamos: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://covid-19.bsvgateway.org

(5) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: SRIV

CITATION: Srivastava, Ajitesh. University of Southern California (USC). COVID-19 forecast. Los Angeles: University of Southern California. https://scc-usc.github.io/ReCOVER-COVID-19 and https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/tree/master/results/historical_forecasts

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/tree/master/results/historical_forecasts

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://github.com/scc-usc/ReCOVER-COVID-19/blob/master/LICENSE

(6) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: JOHN

CITATION: "COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University" https://coronavirus. jhu.edu/map.html and https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

(7) ABBREVIATED NAME IN THIS REPOSITORY: covidcompare

CITATION: Friedman J, Liu P, Akre S. The covidcompare tool. https://covidcompare.io/about

SOURCE REPOSITORY: https://covidcompare.io/

SOURCE REPOSITORY LICENCE: https://covidcompare.io/about

License, DOI, and suggested Citation of this reposirory

All codes are copyrighted by the author under Apache License 2.0.

See LICENSE

DOI

Pourmalek, F. GitHub repository “CovidVisualizedGlobal”: Combine and visualize international periodically updating estimates of COVID-19 at the global level. Version 1.1, Released June 23, 2021. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5019030 https://github.com/pourmalek/CovidVisualizedGlobal

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CovidVisualizedGlobal

Combine and visualize international periodically updated estimates of COVID-19

at the global level 🌍

Related repositories:

TOC

I. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM LATEST UPTAKE

II. METHODS AND RESULTS OF THIS WORK

III. INNER WORKS OF THIS REPOSITORY

IV. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM PREVIOUS UPTAKES

I. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM LATEST UPTAKE

LATEST UPTAKE: uptake 20210806

DELP 20210806, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210719, LANL 20210801, SRIV 20210801

Selected graphs

II. METHODS AND RESULTS OF THIS WORK

III. INNER WORKS OF THIS REPOSITORY

Scenario number within component study

A00 JOHN

A01 DELP

A02 IHME

A03 IMPE

A04 LANL

A05 SRIV

uptakes in this repository, since April 2021

IV. SELCTED GRAPHS FROM PREVIOUS UPTAKES

(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2011

(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2011

(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

(8) Hospital-related outcomes, 2021, without IHME Bed need and IMPE Hospital demand

(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

Licenses / Copyrights of data and / or graphs used in this repository:

License, DOI, and suggested Citation of this reposirory

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LATEST UPTAKE: uptake `20210806`

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