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! Read Global COVID-19 epidemic models situation report No 01 - 2021-08-13 here

Study update dates in uptake 20210813

DELP 20210813, IHME 20210806, IMPE 20210806, LANL 20210808, SRIV 20210813

IMPE update 20210806 (2021-08-06_v8.csv.zip) released on 20210813.



Note: This update 20210806 of IMPE is dead at birth FOR IRAN. See graph for Iran here: (5) Daily deaths, 2021, reference scenario with uncertainty, IMPE. While JOHN and Worldometer web site show PCR-positive daily deaths officially report by Ministry of Health of Iran surpassed 411 on 20210802, the IMPE update 20210806 released on 20210813 says daily deaths will soon go below 400 in Iran. Does the above observation increase the validity of this update 20210806 of IMPE in other locations or at the global level? No.




Selected graphs


(1) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, all time

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(2) Daily deaths, reference scenarios, 2021

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(3) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021

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(3b) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IHME

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(3c) Daily deaths, 3 scenarios, 2021, IMPE

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(4) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, all time

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(5) Daily cases or infections, reference scenarios, 2021

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(6) Daily cases or infections, 3 scenarios, 2021

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(7) Hospital-related outcomes, all time

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(8) Hospital-related outcomes, 2021, without IHME Bed need and IMPE Hospital demand

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(9) Daily deaths estimated to reported, reference scenarios, 2021

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(10) Daily cases or infections estimated to reported cases, reference scenarios, 2021

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